Sensitivity analysis in a radiological impact assessment of a nuclear power plant discharge. A comparison of the Morris, Spearman and Sobol’ approaches
Résumé
This paper compares the Morris, Spearman and Sobol’ methods of sensitivity analysis in radiological risk
assessment. The determination of the most influential parameters on model with regards to the propagation of
their uncertainties to output variables, is of greatest interest. This study aims to determine the relative impor tance of parameters uncertainties on the dose calculation uncertainty in the framework of a scenario of routine
discharges discussed in the context of an IAEA working group. The scenario considers atmospheric and liquid
discharges of three different types of radionuclides (14C, tritium as HTO and 110mAg) from a nuclear power plant
located by the side of a river. It is concluded that the most reliable and practical method according to the ability
of ranking influential parameters and the easiness of its application is the Spearman method. As key result, the
three first influential variables for annual total dose for all pathways and all radionuclides were the water dis solved inorganic carbon concentration, the volatilisation rate constant and the soil layer solid liquid distribution in 14C.
Domaines
Sciences de l'environnementOrigine | Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s) |
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